October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

Troy vs Liberty 10/13/2018

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Troy is a solid favorite with a 61% chance to beat Liberty. Jabir Daughtry-Frye is projected for 125 rushing yards and a 74% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 39% of simulations where Liberty wins, Stephen Calvert averages 3.59 TD passes vs 0.66 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 2.17 TDs to 0.96 interceptions. Frankie Hickson averages 97 rushing yards and 1.14 rushing TDs when Liberty wins and 89 yards and 0.67 TDs in losses. Troy has a 29% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 74% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LIB +9 --- Over/Under line is 65.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games4-1-0All Games2-2-0Troy
Road & Neutral Field2-0-0Home Games0-1-0Troy
When Favored3-0-0When Underdog1-1-0Troy
Non-Conference Opp1-1-0Non-Conference Opp2-1-0Liberty
Opp .500+ Record2-0-0Opp .500+ Record1-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games6-5-1All Games0-0-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field5-1-1Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Favored3-5-0When Underdog0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp2-1-1Non-Conference Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp No Games PlayedN/AOpp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge


All Totals (O-U-P)3-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-1-0OVER
On Road0-2-0At Home1-0-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season3-8-0All Totals Last Season0-0-0UNDER
On Road Last Season1-5-0At Home Last Season0-0-0UNDER

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