October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

Missouri vs Alabama 10/13/2018

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Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 96% of simulations over Missouri. Tua Tagovailoa is averaging 296 passing yards and 3.5 TDs per simulation and Damien Harris is projected for 90 rushing yards and a 68% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 4% of simulations where Missouri wins, Drew Lock averages 1.59 TD passes vs 0.51 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.8 TDs to 0.9 interceptions. Larry Rountree III averages 58 rushing yards and 0.32 rushing TDs when Missouri wins and 55 yards and 0.17 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 54% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ALA -28.5 --- Over/Under line is 75

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games1-2-1All Games3-3-0Alabama
Road & Neutral Field0-2-0Home Games2-2-0Alabama
When Underdog0-1-1When Favored3-3-0Alabama
Conference Opp0-1-1Conference Opp1-2-0Alabama
Opp .500+ Record1-1-1Opp .500+ Record2-1-0Alabama

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games7-5-0All Games5-8-0Missouri
Road & Neutral Field4-2-0Home Games2-4-0Missouri
When Underdog2-1-0When Favored5-8-0Missouri
Conference Opp5-3-0Conference Opp3-6-0Missouri
Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Opp .500+ Record2-6-0Missouri


All Totals (O-U-P)4-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-2-0OVER
On Road2-0-0At Home3-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season6-6-0All Totals Last Season5-8-0UNDER
On Road Last Season3-3-0At Home Last Season2-4-0UNDER

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