October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

Louisville vs Boston College 10/13/2018

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Boston College is a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over Louisville. Anthony Brown is averaging 219 passing yards and 2.4 TDs per simulation and Ben Glines is projected for 107 rushing yards and a 67% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where Louisville wins, Jawon Pass averages 1.61 TD passes vs 0.94 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.85 TDs to 1.33 interceptions. Trey Smith averages 48 rushing yards and 0.46 rushing TDs when Louisville wins and 44 yards and 0.21 TDs in losses. Boston College has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BC -13.5 --- Over/Under line is 61

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games1-4-0All Games2-3-0Boston College
Road & Neutral Field0-2-0Home Games1-1-0Boston College
When Underdog1-3-0When Favored2-2-0Boston College
Conference Opp1-2-0Conference Opp1-1-0Boston College
Opp .500+ Record0-1-0Opp Under .5000-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games5-7-0All Games8-4-1Boston College
Road & Neutral Field3-4-0Home Games3-2-0Boston College
When Underdog1-1-0When Favored3-1-0Boston College
Conference Opp4-4-0Conference Opp6-1-1Boston College
Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Opp .500+ Record4-2-1Boston College


LouisvilleO-U-P RECORDBoston CollegeO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-2-0OVER
On Road1-1-0At Home2-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season4-6-2All Totals Last Season6-7-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-3-2At Home Last Season1-5-0UNDER

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