October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

Iowa vs Indiana 10/13/2018

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Iowa is a solid favorite with a 70% chance to beat Indiana. Toren Young is projected for 48 rushing yards and a 38% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 30% of simulations where Indiana wins, Peyton Ramsey averages 2.19 TD passes vs 0.97 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.14 TDs to 1.27 interceptions. Stevie Scott averages 64 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing TDs when Indiana wins and 61 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. Iowa has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 78% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IND +5.5 --- Over/Under line is 53

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games3-1-0All Games2-4-0Iowa
Road & Neutral Field1-0-0Home Games1-2-0Iowa
When Favored3-0-0When Underdog1-1-0Iowa
Conference Opp1-1-0Conference Opp1-2-0Iowa
Opp .500+ Record2-1-0Opp .500+ Record1-2-0Iowa

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games7-5-1All Games4-8-0Iowa
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Home Games2-4-0Iowa
When Favored5-3-1When Underdog0-6-0Iowa
Conference Opp4-4-1Conference Opp2-7-0Iowa
Opp Under .5001-2-0Opp .500+ Record1-4-0Iowa


All Totals (O-U-P)2-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-3-0No Edge
On Road1-0-0At Home1-2-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season6-7-0All Totals Last Season5-5-1UNDER
On Road Last Season4-2-0At Home Last Season3-1-1OVER

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