October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

Akron vs Buffalo 10/13/2018

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Buffalo is a heavy favorite winning 78% of simulations over Akron. Tyree Jackson is averaging 265 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and Kevin Marks is projected for 88 rushing yards and a 70% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 22% of simulations where Akron wins, Kato Nelson averages 2.87 TD passes vs 0.88 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.29 TDs to 1.19 interceptions. Deltron Sands averages 46 rushing yards and 0.41 rushing TDs when Akron wins and 39 yards and 0.22 TDs in losses. Buffalo has a 37% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BUF -11 --- Over/Under line is 54.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games2-1-0All Games4-1-0Buffalo
Road & Neutral Field2-0-0Home Games1-1-0Akron
When Underdog2-0-0When Favored3-1-0Akron
Conference Opp0-1-0Conference Opp2-0-0Buffalo
Opp .500+ Record1-0-0Opp Under .5002-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games6-7-0All Games8-2-1Buffalo
Road & Neutral Field4-4-0Home Games4-0-0Buffalo
When Underdog4-5-0When Favored2-1-1Buffalo
Conference Opp5-4-0Conference Opp6-2-0Buffalo
Opp Under .5002-4-0Opp Under .5003-2-1Buffalo


All Totals (O-U-P)2-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-0-0OVER
On Road1-1-0At Home2-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season4-9-0All Totals Last Season4-7-0UNDER
On Road Last Season3-5-0At Home Last Season3-2-0UNDER

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