December 09, 2018 8:12 AM CST

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins 12/9/2018

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The New England Patriots are a solid favorite with a 75% chance to beat the Miami Dolphins. Sony Michel is projected for 85 rushing yards and a 54% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 25% of simulations where Miami Dolphins wins, Ryan Tannehill averages 1.84 TD passes vs 0.45 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.29 TDs to 0.9 interceptions. Frank Gore averages 64 rushing yards and 0.46 rushing TDs when Miami Dolphins wins and 40 yards and 0.21 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots has a 55% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New England PatriotsATS RECORDMiami DolphinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-4-0All Games6-6-0New England Patriots
Road Games3-3-0Home Games4-2-0Miami Dolphins
When Favored8-4-0When Underdog3-5-0New England Patriots
Division Opp3-0-0Division Opp2-2-0New England Patriots
Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Opp .500+ Record3-2-0Miami Dolphins

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New England PatriotsATS RECORDMiami DolphinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games11-7-1All Games5-9-2New England Patriots
Road Games5-2-1Home Games3-3-0New England Patriots
When Favored11-7-1When Underdog5-8-1New England Patriots
Division Opp4-2-0Division Opp1-4-1New England Patriots
Opp Under .5005-1-0Opp .500+ Record3-3-1New England Patriots


New England PatriotsO-U-P RECORDMiami DolphinsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-7-0UNDER
On Road2-4-0At Home4-2-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season9-9-1All Totals Last Season7-7-2No Edge
On Road Last Season2-5-1At Home Last Season4-3-1UNDER

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