Odds
November 11, 2018 8:15 AM CST

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears 11/11/2018

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Expect a close game with the Detroit Lions winning 43% of simulations, and the Chicago Bears 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Detroit Lions commit fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. The Chicago Bears wins 73% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Matthew Stafford is averaging 276 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (46% chance) then he helps his team win 50%. Jordan Howard is averaging 88 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 77%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Detroit LionsATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-3-1All Games5-3-0Chicago Bears
Road Games2-1-1Home Games3-1-0Chicago Bears
When Underdog3-1-1When Favored4-2-0Detroit Lions
Division Opp1-1-0Division Opp1-0-0Chicago Bears
Opp .500+ Record3-2-0Opp Under .5003-1-0Chicago Bears

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Detroit LionsATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-7-2All Games7-6-3Chicago Bears
Road Games3-3-2Home Games5-2-2Chicago Bears
When Underdog3-5-0When Favored1-2-0Detroit Lions
Division Opp4-1-1Division Opp1-3-2Detroit Lions
Opp Under .5003-0-2Opp .500+ Record4-5-2Detroit Lions

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit LionsO-U-P RECORDChicago BearsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)5-3-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-3-1OVER
On Road3-1-0At Home2-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season10-6-0All Totals Last Season4-12-0UNDER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season2-6-0UNDER

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