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October 14, 2018 11:04 AM CDT

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons 10/14/2018

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The Atlanta Falcons are a solid favorite with a 67% chance to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Tevin Coleman is projected for 130 rushing yards and a 73% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33% of simulations where Tampa Bay Buccaneers wins, Jameis Winston averages 1.92 TD passes vs 0.35 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.48 TDs to 0.65 interceptions. Peyton Barber averages 74 rushing yards and 0.75 rushing TDs when Tampa Bay Buccaneers wins and 38 yards and 0.27 TDs in losses. The Atlanta Falcons has a 60% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Tampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games2-2-0All Games1-4-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Road Games1-1-0Home Games1-2-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers
When Underdog2-2-0When Favored1-2-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Division Opp1-0-0Division Opp1-1-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Opp Under .5000-1-0Opp .500+ Record1-2-0Atlanta Falcons

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Tampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-7-3All Games8-10-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Road Games2-5-1Home Games5-3-0Atlanta Falcons
When Underdog4-3-3When Favored6-7-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp3-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record2-4-3Opp Under .5001-1-0Atlanta Falcons

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay BuccaneersO-U-P RECORDAtlanta FalconsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-2-0OVER
On Road2-0-0At Home3-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season7-8-1All Totals Last Season4-14-0UNDER
On Road Last Season5-2-1At Home Last Season2-6-0UNDER

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