Odds
October 14, 2018 11:04 AM CDT

Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots 10/14/2018

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Expect a close game with the Kansas City Chiefs winning 51% of simulations, and the New England Patriots 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Kansas City Chiefs commit fewer turnovers in 60% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. The New England Patriots wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Patrick Mahomes is averaging 308 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (46% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Tom Brady is averaging 311 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 56%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDNew England PatriotsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-0-0All Games3-2-0Kansas City Chiefs
Road Games3-0-0Home Games3-0-0No Edge
When Underdog2-0-0When Favored3-2-0Kansas City Chiefs
Non-Division Opp3-0-0Non-Division Opp2-2-0Kansas City Chiefs
Opp .500+ Record4-0-0Opp .500+ Record1-1-0Kansas City Chiefs

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDNew England PatriotsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games10-7-0All Games11-7-1New England Patriots
Road Games4-4-0Home Games6-5-1New England Patriots
When Underdog3-1-0When Favored11-7-1Kansas City Chiefs
Non-Division Opp5-6-0Non-Division Opp7-5-1New England Patriots
Opp .500+ Record6-3-0Opp .500+ Record3-3-1Kansas City Chiefs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDNew England PatriotsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-3-0No Edge
On Road2-1-0At Home1-2-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season7-9-1All Totals Last Season9-9-1UNDER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season7-4-0OVER

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