Odds
October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

UCF vs Memphis 10/13/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with UCF winning 57% of simulations, and Memphis 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. UCF commits fewer turnovers in 27% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Memphis wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Mckenzie Milton is averaging 316 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (45% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. Brady White is averaging 318 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 53%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MEM +4 --- Over/Under line is 78.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

UCFATS RECORDMemphisATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-0-0All Games2-3-0UCF
Road & Neutral Field1-0-0Home Games2-1-0UCF
When Favored4-0-0When Underdog0-0-0No Edge
Conference Opp2-0-0Conference Opp1-2-0UCF
Opp .500+ Record1-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

UCFATS RECORDMemphisATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-4-1All Games8-4-1No Edge
Road & Neutral Field5-1-0Home Games4-2-1UCF
When Favored6-4-1When Underdog3-1-1Memphis
Conference Opp5-3-1Conference Opp5-2-1Memphis
Opp .500+ Record3-2-1Opp .500+ Record3-2-1No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

UCFO-U-P RECORDMemphisO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-3-0UNDER
On Road1-0-0At Home2-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season7-5-0All Totals Last Season7-5-0OVER
On Road Last Season2-4-0At Home Last Season4-2-0No Edge

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