Odds
October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

New Mexico State vs Louisiana-Lafayette 10/13/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with New Mexico State winning 42% of simulations, and Louisiana-Lafayette 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. New Mexico State commits fewer turnovers in 36% of simulations and they go on to win 51% when they take care of the ball. Louisiana-Lafayette wins 73% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Josh Adkins is averaging 385 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 54%. Raymond Calais is averaging 91 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LALAF -8 --- Over/Under line is 68.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New Mexico StateATS RECORDLouisiana-LafayetteATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1-5-0All Games2-2-0Louisiana-Lafayette
Road & Neutral Field1-2-0Home Games0-1-0New Mexico State
When Underdog0-5-0When Favored1-1-0Louisiana-Lafayette
Conference Opp0-0-0Conference Opp1-1-0No Edge
Opp Under .5001-2-0Opp Under .5001-0-0Louisiana-Lafayette

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New Mexico StateATS RECORDLouisiana-LafayetteATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-6-1All Games4-7-0New Mexico State
Road & Neutral Field4-3-1Home Games2-2-0New Mexico State
When Underdog4-3-0When Favored1-2-0New Mexico State
Conference Opp2-5-1Conference Opp4-4-0Louisiana-Lafayette
Opp Under .5003-5-1Opp .500+ Record0-1-0New Mexico State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New Mexico StateO-U-P RECORDLouisiana-LafayetteO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-1-0OVER
On Road & Neutral Field2-1-0On Road & Neutral Field3-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season5-8-0All Totals Last Season7-4-0No Edge
On Road & Neutral Field '175-3-0On Road & Neutral Field '174-3-0OVER

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