Odds
September 22, 2018 9:33 AM CDT

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers 9/22/2018

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 42-37 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 33-43 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers\' starter Rich Hill is forecasted to have a better game than Padres\' starter Jacob Nix. Rich Hill has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jacob Nix has a 20% chance of a QS. If Rich Hill has a quality start the Dodgers has a 88% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.9 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 79%. In Jacob Nix quality starts the Padres win 40%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 40% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Max Muncy who averaged 2.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 84% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Franmil Reyes who averaged 2.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 35% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Diego PadresRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road33-43, 43% 614Record at Home42-37, 53% -1251San Diego Padres
VS Los Angeles Dodgers5-12, 29% -397VS San Diego Padres12-5, 71% 131Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better43-66, 39% -550vs Team Under .50033-29, 53% -1083San Diego Padres
Record As Road Underdog32-43, 43% 526Record As Home Favorite41-37, 53% -1356San Diego Padres
When Jacob Nix Starts3-3, 50% 52When Rich Hill Starts11-11, 50% -268San Diego Padres

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Diego PadresRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-7, 46% 347Record at Home10-4, 71% 107San Diego Padres
VS Los Angeles Dodgers1-3, 25% -62VS San Diego Padres3-1, 75% 6Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better3-6, 33% -121vs Team .500 or Better9-4, 69% 173Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog6-7, 46% 347Record As Home Favorite10-4, 71% 107San Diego Padres
When Jacob Nix Starts3-1, 75% 252When Rich Hill Starts4-2, 67% 47San Diego Padres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Diego PadresRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD32-40, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME36-40, 47% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-5, 58% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-7, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-39, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON46-39, 54% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jacob Nix STARTS3-3, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Rich Hill STARTS17-5, 77% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 39-37, 51% +827 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 41-38, 52% +1219 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 7-6, 54% +170 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 9-5, 64% -31

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 43-33, 57% -665 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 41-38, 52% -1396 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 7-6, 54% -228 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-4, 71% +107

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 39-32, 55% + 380 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 34-36, 49% -560 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 5-9, 36% -490

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