Odds
September 22, 2018 9:33 AM CDT

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals 9/22/2018

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The Washington Nationals are 36-38 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 39-39 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals\' starter Tanner Roark is forecasted to have a better game than Mets\' starter Corey Oswalt. Tanner Roark has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Corey Oswalt has a 22% chance of a QS. If Tanner Roark has a quality start the Nationals has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 71%. In Corey Oswalt quality starts the Mets win 56%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Anthony Rendon who averaged 2.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Jeff McNeil who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 48% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

New York MetsRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road39-39, 50% 616Record at Home36-38, 49% -1542New York Mets
VS Washington Nationals10-7, 59% 545VS New York Mets7-10, 41% -408New York Mets
vs Team .500 or Better48-62, 44% -849vs Team Under .50034-27, 56% -604Washington Nationals
Record As Road Underdog24-25, 49% 879Record As Home Favorite32-32, 50% -1386New York Mets
When Corey Oswalt Starts3-5, 38% -135When Tanner Roark Starts13-17, 43% -501New York Mets

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

New York MetsRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-7, 56% 510Record at Home4-8, 33% -484New York Mets
VS Washington Nationals4-1, 80% 445VS New York Mets1-4, 20% -301New York Mets
vs Team .500 or Better8-5, 62% 634vs Team .500 or Better7-10, 41% -327New York Mets
Record As Road Underdog7-6, 54% 461Record As Home Favorite3-5, 38% -305New York Mets
When Corey Oswalt Starts0-1, 0% -100When Tanner Roark Starts2-3, 40% -62Washington Nationals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York MetsRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD37-35, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME40-31, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-10, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-3, 73% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON50-27, 65% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-40, 47% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Corey Oswalt STARTS3-4, 43% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tanner Roark STARTS14-14, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 40-38, 51% +358 Washington Nationals Home Games: 40-34, 54% +1291 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 4-12, 25% -923 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-6, 50% -43

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 40-38, 51% -739 Washington Nationals Home Games: 38-36, 51% -1168 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-9, 44% -442 Washington Nationals Home Games: 5-7, 42% -292

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 36-32, 53% + 80 Washington Nationals Home Games: 27-37, 42% -1370 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40

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