Odds
September 22, 2018 9:33 AM CDT

Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros 9/22/2018

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The Houston Astros are 44-35 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 38-41 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros\' starter Justin Verlander is forecasted to have a better game than Angels\' starter Jaime Barria. Justin Verlander has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jaime Barria has a 37% chance of a QS. If Justin Verlander has a quality start the Astros has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.9 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 68%. In Jaime Barria quality starts the Angels win 64%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.53 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 49% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles AngelsRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road38-41, 48% -216Record at Home44-35, 56% -1410Los Angeles Angels
VS Houston Astros6-11, 35% -175VS Los Angeles Angels11-6, 65% 70Houston Astros
vs Team .500 or Better33-58, 36% -2221vs Team Under .50055-19, 74% 864Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog14-27, 34% -750Record As Home Favorite43-34, 56% -1427Los Angeles Angels
When Jaime Barria Starts12-12, 50% 112When Justin Verlander Starts19-13, 59% -253Los Angeles Angels

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Los Angeles AngelsRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-6, 57% 334Record at Home11-6, 65% -47Los Angeles Angels
VS Houston Astros2-6, 25% -212VS Los Angeles Angels6-2, 75% 149Houston Astros
vs Team .500 or Better4-9, 31% -286vs Team Under .50015-5, 75% 256Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog3-6, 33% -88Record As Home Favorite11-6, 65% -47Houston Astros
When Jaime Barria Starts3-2, 60% 177When Justin Verlander Starts4-1, 80% 68Los Angeles Angels

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Los Angeles AngelsRECORDHouston AstrosRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD36-37, 49% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME37-41, 47% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-7, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-9, 47% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-45, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-50, 43% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jaime Barria STARTS10-14, 42% OverOVER-UNDER IN Justin Verlander STARTS13-18, 42% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 31-48, 39% -1216 Houston Astros Home Games: 38-41, 48% +1728 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-7, 50% +109 Houston Astros Home Games: 6-11, 35% -294

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 47-32, 59% +421 Houston Astros Home Games: 44-35, 56% -1383 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 11-3, 79% +541 Houston Astros Home Games: 11-6, 65% -47

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 40-28, 59% + 920 Houston Astros Home Games: 33-34, 49% -440 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 9-5, 64% + 350 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-5, 62% + 250

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